<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.3/JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xml:lang="en">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Computing, Telecommunication and Control</journal-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Информатика, телекоммуникации и управление</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2687-0517</issn>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">12</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Internet adoption forecasting using an innovation diffusion model</article-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Прогнозирование распространения Интернета при помощи модели диффузии нововведений</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Delitsyn</surname>
            <given-names>Leonid</given-names>
          </name>
          <email>L.Delitsin@yahoo.ru</email>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2010-02-10">
        <day>10</day>
        <month>02</month>
        <year>2010</year>
      </pub-date>
      <issue>1</issue>
      <issue-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">93</issue-id>
      <fpage>74</fpage>
      <lpage>82</lpage>
      <abstract xml:lang="en">
        <p>Using an innovation diffusion model that accounts for demographic processes and price dynamics, we analyze three possible scenarios of Internet adoption in Russia. To identify model parameters we use Public Opinion Foundation and WCIOM sociological survey data. Our forecasts are compared against historical Internet adoption dynamics in the US, Sweden and Latin Amerca.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
        <kwd>Internet</kwd>
        <kwd>diffusion of innovations</kwd>
        <kwd>demographic processes</kwd>
        <kwd>forecasting</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
